Цены на анилин в Азии выросли на 48% в первой половине 2026 года из-за дефицита и роста затрат

09-08-2026 09:47 AM CET | Chemicals & Materials Press release from: Price WatchTM AI Aniline prices have surged across key Asian markets in 2026, with India's West Coast domestic market rising by approximately 48% in the first half of the year as higher Benzene costs, firm downstream demand, supply tightness and elevated freight expenses reshape procurement economics. Aniline has emerged as one of the strongest-performing aromatic intermediates of 2026. Price WatchTM spot price data shows India's West Coast domestic market increasing by approximately 10% in Q1 2026 and a further 35% in Q2, resulting in a cumulative increase of close to 45% over six months. China followed a similar trajectory, with prices rising approximately 19% in Q1 and 20% in Q2, equivalent to a cumulative increase of around 40%. By late July, Chinese spot prices were nearly 60% above the corresponding period of 2025. 👉👉👉 Please Submit Your Query for Aniline Price Trends, Forecast demand-supply, historical data, and market analysis: https://www.price-watch.ai/book-a-demo/ Europe has seen a more moderate increase, with prices rising approximately 10% in Q2 as long-term contractual arrangements and weaker construction-related demand limited the pace of the rally. The divergence between regions highlights a market being driven not only by feedstock inflation but also by regional supply availability, import dependence and downstream demand. India Leads the Rally as Feedstock and Supply Tightness Converge India's Aniline market has experienced the strongest increase among the three regions tracked by Price WatchTM. The approximately 45% H1 rally reflects the combined impact of upstream cost pressure and a tightening supply-demand balance. Benzene is estimated to account for approximately 56% of delivered Aniline cost, making changes in Benzene economics particularly important for producers and buyers. Benzene itself has experienced cost pressure as crude prices remained near yearly highs amid Middle East tensions, while Chinese Benzene port inventories declined to multi-year lows and operating rates remained among the weakest of the year. Nitric Acid and Hydrogen provide additional cost pressure, although their contribution is considerably smaller. Together with energy-related expenses, these inputs have added to producers' cost base during a period when Aniline availability has also tightened. For Indian buyers, the situation is further complicated by the country's structural import dependence. Domestic production covers only around half of demand, leaving buyers competing for imported cargoes with consumers in other Asian markets. Downstream Demand Remains Firm Despite Higher Prices The Aniline rally has not been driven solely by upstream costs. Downstream demand has provided an additional layer of support. Approximately two-thirds of global Aniline consumption is directed toward MDI production, linking Aniline demand closely with the polyurethane industry. Demand from cold-chain infrastructure, appliances and automotive applications remained firm through Q2, supporting MDI consumption and consequently Aniline requirements. Other downstream applications, including rubber antioxidants such as 6PPD, dyes and paracetamol intermediates, have continued to absorb material. This combination of steady downstream pull and constrained supply has allowed producers and sellers to maintain firmer offers even as buyers face significantly higher replacement costs. How Aniline Is Made and Where the Cost Pressure Sits Aniline production is relatively straightforward in terms of its core feedstock route, but its economics remain highly sensitive to upstream input costs. Producing one tonne of Aniline requires approximately 0.85 tonnes of Benzene, 0.55 tonnes of Nitric Acid and 65 kg of Hydrogen. The manufacturing process includes nitration and Hydrogenation, with both stages involving exothermic reactions, catalysts and significant energy requirements. As a result, natural gas, steam, hydrogen and catalyst costs can influence producer margins alongside the primary Benzene feedstock. The Price WatchTM cost assessment indicates that Benzene accounts for approximately 56% of delivered Aniline cost and recorded an estimated 20-25% increase during H1-2026. This translates into an estimated 12-14 percentage-point contribution to delivered Aniline cost. Nitric Acid, representing approximately 11% of cost, increased around 8%, while Hydrogen and energy, accounting for approximately 15%, moved around 10%. Freight added another layer of pressure, particularly in India, where typhoon-related disruptions across the East and South China Seas pushed ISO-tank spot freight rates approximately 30-40% higher and extended India-bound transit times by 7-12 days. The Cost Build-Up Explains Only Part of the Rally The most important feature of the 2026 Aniline market is that feedstock inflation does not fully explain the price increase. Price WatchTM estimates that feedstock and freight together account for roughly 17 percentage points of India's approximately 45% H1 price increase. The remaining increase is attributed primarily to a 15-20 percentage-point supply-tightness premium in the Indian market. This distinction matters for procurement teams. Feedstock-driven increases can remain in place for as long as upstream costs remain elevated, while supply-tightness premiums have a greater tendency to reverse once availability improves. For buyers, the implication is that today's Aniline price should not automatically be extrapolated into the second half of the year. The future direction will depend on whether supply constraints persist after the initial cost pressures begin to stabilize. Aniline Market Outlook The second half of 2026 will depend on the interaction between Benzene costs, downstream MDI demand, producer operating rates, import availability and freight conditions. If Benzene remains elevated and downstream polyurethane demand continues to support MDI consumption, the cost base for Aniline is likely to remain firm. However, if supply availability improves and the tightness premium begins to unwind, some of the gains recorded during the first half of the year could reverse. India remains particularly sensitive because of its high dependence on imported material. Any disruption to Asian cargo availability or freight could therefore produce a disproportionately large impact on Indian domestic pricing. China's market will remain an important indicator for the wider Asian balance, while Europe's comparatively moderate increase suggests that regional contract structures and weaker construction demand can provide some insulation from the sharper Asian price movements. The key question facing market participants is whether the supply-tightness premium that amplified the H1 rally will persist, or whether improving availability will allow Aniline prices to separate from the elevated feedstock and freight costs that drove much of the 2026 increase. About Price WatchTM Price WatchTM provides real-time commodity and chemical market intelligence, combining spot-price assessments with short- and long-term forecasts, feedstock-linked cost models and procurement signals. For Aniline, the platform tracks India, China and European markets, alongside the key upstream drivers including Benzene, Nitric Acid, Hydrogen and energy costs. Its analysis also incorporates supply-demand conditions, operating rates, inventory levels, freight movements and regional trade flows. Browse more Pricing Reports:- Aniline Price Trend: https://www.price-watch.ai/aniline-prices/ Acetone Price Trend: https://www.price-watch.ai/acetone-prices/ Diethylene Glycol Price Trend: https://www.price-watch.ai/diethylene-glycol-prices/ Butadiene Price Trend: https://www.price-watch.ai/butadiene-prices/ Price WatchTM AI Futura Tech Park, C Block, 8th floor 334, Old Mahabalipuram Road, Sholinganallur, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, Pincode - 600119. LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/price-watch-ai/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/people//61568490385598/ Twitter: https://x.com/pricewatchai Website: https://www.price-watch.ai/ Price WatchTM AI is an India-based, independent raw material price reporting agency that provides real-time price forecasts and data-driven insights into global raw material markets. Price-Watch AI specializes in tracking raw material prices, analyzing market trends, and delivering timely updates on plant shutdowns, supply disruptions, capacity expansions, and demand-supply dynamics. The Price-Watch AI platform empowers manufacturers, traders, and procurement professionals to make faster, smarter decisions. Leveraging AI-powered forecasting and over a decade of historical data, Price-Watch AI transforms market volatility into actionable opportunity. This release was published on openPR. 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