Бюджет Вашингтона: независимый прогноз предсказывает снижение доходов на 400 млн долларов

A new independent economic forecast from the Office of the D.C. Auditor projects the District will collect less revenue this year than previously expected, citing weaker employment growth, declining commercial real estate values, potential Congressional actions and broader economic uncertainty. The office estimates the District will collect $11.8 billion in revenue during fiscal 2026, which ends Sept. 30. That represents a $400 million drop from an analysis in March conducted by EY/Quantitative Economics and Statistics. Even so, the estimate remains slightly above the $11.7 billion official forecast issued in February by the D.C. Office of the Chief Financial Officer. Federal tax changes, weaker employment and the commercial real estate market are cited as the main reasons for the negative projection. “When the CFO said that they weren’t going to do a quarterly re-estimate that they’re required to do and just live with the one they did in February, we just asked our folks to run their model and again and tell us what they were seeing,” D.C. Auditor Kathy Patterson told WTOP. “And what they did see was a trajectory that’s in the wrong direction.” The report warns that tensions involving the Iran war and potential federal policy changes could further reduce District tax revenues. “The numbers, frankly, aren’t quite as concerning as the direction,” Patterson said. “And that downward direction was just not good to hear.” The D.C. Council is expected to consider new revenue proposals this fall as budget pressures mount nationwide. A recent survey by the National Association of State Budget Officers found spending growth was largely stagnant, with state and local leaders relying on measures such as cutting spending, limiting hiring and increasing taxes to close projected budget gaps. Get breaking news and daily headlines delivered to your email inbox by signing up here. © 2026 WTOP. All Rights Reserved. This website is not intended for users located within the European Economic Area.